Assessments / Blog

ES #F Supply and Volatility increasing

The daily chart of the S&P 500 mini futures contract above, shows our proprietary SUPPLY and DEMAND Dashboard and BXB (Bar by Bar) Signals using data from the NYSE.

As expected and mentioned in our last assessment: “If Volatility stays above 100 (which is bearish) and Selling pressure develops Tomorrow, we should see a continuation of the pullback that started last week Thursday…. We still have an unfilled gap from 2886.50 to 2877.50 and a pullback to this zone is also a possibility”. The mini S&P 500 futures contract traded to a low of 2885.50 (the top of the unfilled gap), before closing at 2898.25 Yesterday, way above the low to form a potential Spring. Volatility is still bearish and the Simplified Volume Oscillator entered the Selling pressure territory.

If Demand does not show up today, more weakness will develop. The 2877.25 (bottom of gap) to 2863.75 level should offer support. We still have an unfilled gap from 2885.50 to 2877.25 and a pullback to this zone is also a possibility, before a move higher.

Daily Signals September the 5th   

The Dashboard readings and signals are all bearish


If Demand enters the market today, the potential Spring formed Yesterday will help to push the market higher. If not and selling pressure continues today, a possible test of the 2877.25 to 2863.75 zone can occur.

Data is updated in real time during the regular trading session of the NY Stock exchange and does NOT take into account any price indicators or mathematical formulas using price. We do however show the cumulative price change for the trading session and in some instances assess price movement’s relationship to Supply and Demand.

It is therefore fair to say that the readings and signals are independent from other popular price indicators and others shown on the chart. The readings are an independent assessment of the one and only measureable fundamental market mover: SUPPLY and DEMAND. It does not matter if price is influenced by a geopolitical event, seasonality, fundamental economic data releases or sentiment driven news, etc. It all reflects in Supply and Demand, the “footprints” of the “Big Boys” or “Smart Money”.


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