Assessments / Blog
US/CHINA TRADE ISSUES CREATE SHOCKWAVE AROUND THE GLOBE
Unless you were following our research, see below, and were already aware of the many warning signs we’ve been posting in our continued efforts to help traders and to help educate skilled investors, you were probably caught completely off guard by the news of near trade tariffs last Sunday, May 5th. Let’s face it, the short position in the VIX was an indication that institutional and retail investors had gone “all in” on this rally and had failed to even consider anything disrupting the narrow range price rally that had been in place over the past 45+ days. Well, all of that changed on Sunday night and many traders woke up Monday morning to the INDU down nearly -500 points.
The most incredible facet of this rotation was that the markets had already discounted the trade tariff news and began to rally almost immediately after the opening bell on Monday. Sure, we are not out of the woods at this time with the potential for continued price volatility and price rotation, but the fact that the US stock market was capable of rallying back from a very deep opening price shows just how resilient the US stock market and the economy really are. The issue this time, we feel, will be felt in the global market and in foreign currency rates. We’ll get into that more as we continue.
In case you missed our most recent research posts, we suggest you take a few minutes to review the following posts to bring you up to speed with our analysis/research. Reviewing these posts may help you to better understand the rest of this article and our expectations for the next 60 to 90 days.
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